Is regulated BGP security coming?

Regulators in the US, particularly the FCC, are considering mandates to improve BGP security, raising questions over whether state intervention is necessary or harmful in an area traditionally governed by industry self-regulation. Commenters weigh the relatively low frequency but high impact of BGP hijacks against existing mechanisms like RPKI, MANRS, and source-address filtering, arguing over how effective they are and whether slow adoption justifies regulation. The debate also touches on geopolitical risks, potential fragmentation of the global internet, and parallels with the web’s shift to mandatory TLS and CA-based trust.

Perceived Severity of BGP Risk

  • One view: operators have largely self-organized; BGP hijacking is rare compared to other attack vectors and often not impactful on well-run networks.
  • Counterview: incidents still cause large, global outages and are exploited for censorship, crypto theft, and abuse; thus BGP hijack must be in any realistic threat model for internet-reliant operations.
  • Some argue “least likely” vectors become more attractive once others are hardened.

Self-Regulation vs Government Regulation

  • Some see FCC action as a justified response to slow industry uptake of protections like RPKI (e.g., low US deployment decades after introduction).
  • Others call it a dangerous power grab, preferring multistakeholder internet governance and warning against nationalizing or politicizing routing (e.g., “Great Firewall of the USA” concerns).
  • Debate over whether states are ultimate authorities or merely delegating to RIRs and multistakeholder bodies; skeptics note states can always reclaim authority.

RPKI, ASPA, and Technical Limits

  • RPKI is viewed by some as the natural cryptographic ownership mechanism; others note it doesn’t fully stop hijacks and needs extensions like ASPA.
  • Confusion and criticism around how exactly RPKI prevents specific attack modes; some claim it “stops nothing” without additional mechanisms.
  • Concerns about RPKI trust anchors being long-lived and high-value single points of failure.

Deployment, Legacy Space, and Incentives

  • Legacy IPv4 holders resist RPKI due to ARIN contracts/fees, arguing they never agreed to new terms.
  • Others argue reachability is a privilege; if you won’t participate in RPKI/IRR, you shouldn’t expect global routing guarantees.
  • Suggestion of financial bonding or penalties for false announcements to create accountability, especially for chronically misbehaving regions.

Analogies to TLS/PKI and Centralization

  • Some compare BGP regulation and RPKI to the transition to mandatory HTTPS/TLS: initially seen as a power grab but later accepted as necessary.
  • Others see the TLS/CA ecosystem as a cautionary tale: central CAs (and now Let’s Encrypt) as single points of failure and gatekeepers, harmful for small “human” websites.

Related Security Measures and Threat Models

  • Comparisons to SS7, which is regulated yet still lacks strong cryptography.
  • Debates over DNSSEC, CAA, and Let’s Encrypt’s handling of BGP-hijack-based certificate misissuance.
  • Calls for mandatory IP source validation (strict uRPF) at edge ISPs; noted as infeasible in the core due to asymmetric routing.