Cuba's grid goes offline with blackout after a major power plant fails
Current outage and grid infrastructure
- Commenters note updates that power is being restored in parts of Cuba; airports reportedly operated normally.
- Grid infrastructure is described as old and poorly maintained, with long lead times (≈18+ months) to add new capacity.
- Some expect the situation to remain bad for a long time and foresee potential political consequences, though the likelihood of regime change is debated.
Solar power and alternative energy
- Several ask why a sunny island like Cuba hasn’t gone big on rooftop or utility-scale solar.
- Explanations given: weak investment framework, semi-communist system hostile to foreign capital, poor grid readiness for distributed generation, and lack of financing.
- One thread discusses PV efficiency losses at higher temperatures and the economics of solar parks, with mild disagreement on how limiting heat really is.
- Others point to hurricanes, lack of money, and unpaid debts to Chinese suppliers as barriers.
- Ideas such as Chinese power barges, US nuclear carriers, or large battery farms (e.g., Megapacks) are raised, mostly as thought experiments rather than realistic options.
Sanctions, trade, and external actors
- A major thread debates the impact of decades-long US sanctions, described by some as “economic warfare” opposed by most countries at the UN.
- Others argue Cuba can and does trade with many countries (EU, Canada, China, Venezuela), so sanctions alone cannot explain the crisis.
- Counterpoint: US law threatens secondary sanctions, which can chill third-country trade; some jurisdictions respond with “blocking statutes.”
- Extracts from reporting on China–Cuba relations highlight: shrinking trade, unpaid Cuban debts, minimal Chinese investment compared to the rest of Latin America, and Chinese frustration at Havana’s refusal to adopt market reforms.
Economic model, collapse, and tourism
- Multiple commenters argue Cuba’s centrally planned, Soviet-style economy is fundamentally inefficient and a bigger problem than the embargo.
- Others stress that sanctions crippled key earners like tourism (especially US visitors) and exacerbated an already fragile system.
- Tourism and sugar are seen as Cuba’s main foreign-exchange sources, with tourism badly hit post‑COVID and by US policy reversals.
- Comparisons are made to Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and ex-communist Poland to discuss what small economies “can offer” and how alliances or market reforms can change outcomes.
Geopolitics and ideology
- Some suggest the US should seize the moment to provide infrastructure aid and normalize relations; others insist it’s not in US strategic interest to help a Russian-aligned regime.
- Historical grievances (Cuban Missile Crisis, expropriated US assets, Cuban exile politics in Florida) are invoked to explain why sanctions persist.
- Ideological debate is sharp: some blame “communism” or hardline socialism for predictable shortages and blackouts; others counter that sanctions are designed precisely to ensure such failure and then be cited as proof.