The future of solar doesn't track the sun
Panel orientation and vertical/bifacial designs
- Many argue that as panels get cheap, orientation shifts from “maximum efficiency” to “good enough on any usable surface” (roofs, facades, fences, balcony railings).
- Vertical mounting (often bifacial, N–S rows with faces E/W) is highlighted for: reduced snow and hail issues, less soiling, lower cell temperatures, better winter and shoulder-season production, and more morning/evening output at the cost of less noon peak.
- There’s debate over “north–south” wording; several clarify this usually means panel rows run N–S so faces point E/W.
- Some see solar fences or PV facades as attractive when they replace an existing structure cost (fence, cladding), even with 10–50% efficiency loss from aesthetics or patterns.
Tracking vs fixed arrays
- Multiple commenters with industry experience say single-/dual-axis tracking used to make sense when modules were very expensive; now cheap panels plus high installation/maintenance cost make trackers hard to justify.
- Field experience: motors/gears outdoors require ongoing maintenance; failures that leave panels mis-aimed can wipe out gains.
- Others note trackers can still help where land is scarce, sunlight is highly direct, or for concentrated solar; but trend is strongly toward fixed-tilt or dense E–W layouts.
Grid-scale vs residential economics
- Grid-scale solar is growing faster than rooftop and is optimized for lowest cost per kWh: minimal complexity, dense layouts, almost flat or low-tilt fixed racks.
- Several argue that as panel prices fall, installation and labor dominate, pushing toward simplest possible ground-mounts over “novelty” surfaces.
- Counterpoint: for individual buildings without spare land, rooftop or façade PV is still economically rational because wiring is short and the surface is “free.”
Timing of generation and grid impacts
- Flattening the daily power curve (less sharp noon peak, more 8–10 a.m. and 4–6 p.m.) is seen as increasingly important as solar penetration rises.
- East–west roofs and vertical bifacial rows are praised for smoothing output, even if total annual kWh is lower than optimal south-facing tilt.
- Several note that wholesale prices are already highly time-dependent; future value will come from generation at off-peak-solar times or via storage.
Hail and mechanical protection
- Hail risk is a major argument for tilting/tracking in some regions, but others suggest dedicated hail protection (nets, chain-link, covers) might be cheaper than moving structures.
- There’s disagreement over how effective netting is; some say it’s already common in agriculture and car protection, others doubt its practicality at scale.
Storage, off-grid nuance, and demand behavior
- Hot water tanks are widely endorsed as ultra-cheap “batteries” for midday solar, with some users nearly off-grid for hot water.
- Discussion touches seasonal storage (e.g., iron/iron-oxide for hydrogen), grid-tied batteries, and using buildings as thermal batteries with heat pumps.
- Several contrast high U.S. household consumption and tankless heaters with more efficient European “passive house” practices, arguing lifestyle and building design heavily shape how much solar is “enough.”