Starcloud

Concept and Claimed Advantages

  • Company pitch: large-scale AI training data centers in orbit, powered by massive solar arrays, with “passive” radiative cooling and continuous, cheap energy.
  • Some commenters note that for batch AI training, bandwidth/latency can be relaxed (upload data once, download trained models), and sun-synchronous or geostationary orbits could in principle give near‑continuous power.

Cooling and Thermal Engineering Skepticism

  • Dominant theme: cooling in space is harder, not easier. Only radiation is available; convection (air or water) is unavailable.
  • Multiple references to ISS and spacecraft radiators: they already struggle with far smaller heat loads and require large, actively pumped systems.
  • Whitepaper’s claim of ~600 W/m² radiative dissipation implies square kilometers of radiators for gigawatt-scale loads; many call this unrealistic, especially with no maintenance.
  • Critiques that the paper downplays solar heating, mischaracterizes “passive cooling,” and handwaves use of heat pumps without addressing power and complexity.

Power, Orbits, and Cost Math

  • Commenters note orbital solar is only modestly more efficient than ground solar; continuous sunlight and no night might give ~2–4×, but everything else (launch, assembly, radiators, batteries if needed) is vastly more expensive.
  • Back-of-envelope comparisons (e.g., 4 km × 4 km arrays, multi‑GW systems) are seen as off by orders of magnitude; some specific cost/unit estimates in the paper are called “egregious.”
  • Several argue that many of the same benefits (cheap power, cooling) could be achieved more cheaply with multiple terrestrial datacenters in remote cold regions or underwater.

Hardware Reliability, Radiation, and Maintenance

  • Concerns about cosmic radiation on dense GPUs: bit flips, logic errors, and permanent damage; current space systems use older, rad‑hard or heavily redundant hardware.
  • Whitepaper’s treatment of radiation shielding is criticized for dubious scaling arguments.
  • Lack of feasible in-orbit maintenance seen as fatal, especially for multi‑kilometer structures and fast GPU obsolescence vs claimed 10–15‑year lifetimes.

Bandwidth, Latency, and Use Cases

  • Line-of-sight connectivity via Starlink/other constellations is seen as plausible; capacity at AI‑training scales is doubted.
  • Some speculate that realistic near-term use would be much smaller “edge” compute in orbit, not GPT‑6‑scale training.

Alternatives, Environment, and Governance

  • Many point to existing or plausible terrestrial options: Arctic/Canadian/Scandinavian DCs, underwater modules, remote renewable‑rich sites.
  • Environmental/orbital concerns: increased space debris, Kessler syndrome risk, privatization of orbit, and using space to dodge terrestrial regulation.
  • A minority suggests space-based solar might make more sense beaming power to Earth than running data centers.

VC/YC and Overall Sentiment

  • Strong overall skepticism: repeated comparisons to Theranos, “space grift,” and “AI + space” buzzword mashup.
  • Some defend backing very ambitious ideas and “founders over ideas,” expecting pivots; others see YC/VC as enabling physics‑illiterate hype.
  • A few commenters explicitly say they like the ambition but expect the concept to fail on basic thermodynamics and economics.