Bitcoin passes $120k milestone as US Congress readies for 'crypto week'
Original Vision vs. Current Reality
- Early hopes: bank the unbanked, cheap global payments, disintermediate PayPal/banks.
- Many posters say this largely failed: almost no everyday retail usage in Europe/US; fiat payment rails got “fast and cheap” anyway.
- Bitcoin is now framed mostly as:
- Speculative asset / “store of value”
- Tool for illicit use (sanctions evasion, laundering, scams, illegal markets)
- Hedge against fiat debasement in unstable countries (with stablecoins mentioned more than BTC).
Regret, Luck, and “Mistake” Narratives
- Several personal stories of selling early or never buying; common theme: hindsight makes normal decisions look like catastrophic errors.
- Others push back: treating missed crypto gains like “not buying the winning lottery ticket” – impossible to know, and most would have sold much earlier anyway.
- Some argue that using crypto windfalls for real-life improvements (housing, debt payoff) was rational, not a mistake.
Ethics, Inequality, and Power Concentration
- Strong criticism that Bitcoin’s main “real” value is enabling crime and evasion of rules.
- Concern that wealth and control are highly concentrated:
- Lost coins, early hoards, whales, banks, and centralized exchanges dominate supply/flow.
- This is seen as recreating (or amplifying) existing inequality and insider advantage, not disrupting it.
- Counterview: diverting capital away from real estate and traditional assets might reduce some inequality pressures.
Store of Value vs. Risk and Energy Cost
- Supporters emphasize algorithmic scarcity and long-term “store of value” properties, comparing BTC to gold and criticizing fiat inflation.
- Skeptics highlight:
- Extreme volatility (multi‑tens‑of‑percent drops)
- Regulatory risk
- Zero productive output compared to equities/bonds
- Proof-of-work’s energy use is condemned as “waste”; some wish speculation moved to non‑PoW systems.
Regulation, Politics, and Macro Context
- Debate over whether US “crypto week” and Trump-era policy are driving prices; some expect classic “sell the news.”
- Worry that regulation will be designed to favor large institutions, who will also get advance signals and exit first.
- Some see BTC as a hedge against local fiat inflation; others argue more conventional assets (foreign currency, real estate, equities, bonds, gold) are safer hedges.
Meta and Behavioral Themes
- Discussion of cognitive biases, regret, and recency bias in evaluating BTC’s rise.
- Observation that outsized crypto fortunes demoralize “rule-followers” and may incentivize riskier behavior.
- Thread also contains obvious “recovery” scam spam, ironically underscoring crypto’s fraud problem.