Random selection is necessary to create stable meritocratic institutions

What “sortition” is and why it’s proposed

  • Commenters note the idea is long‑studied under “sortition”/“demarchy”: offices filled by lottery rather than election.
  • Motivation: elections systematically select for charisma, money, and sociopathy rather than public‑spirited competence; lobbying and staffers/lawyers effectively write laws.
  • Randomly selected citizens are argued to be more representative and less corruptible, since they don’t need to fundraise or seek reelection.

Arguments in favor of sortition or partial sortition

  • Juries and citizens’ assemblies (Ireland, France, local experiments) are cited as proof that random citizens can deliberate, absorb expert input, and reach nuanced, workable recommendations.
  • Several propose hybrid systems:
    • Randomly selected lower or upper houses, or a fixed fraction of seats filled by lottery.
    • Policy‑specific “citizen juries” that vet, amend, or approve legislation.
    • “Election by jury” where a random panel interviews and chooses between candidates.
  • Others suggest expanding legislatures (e.g., US House) and filling some of the new seats by sortition to dilute partisanship and money.

Design variants and safeguards

  • Ideas include:
    • Eligibility pools (basic education, clean record, prior local service).
    • Training periods and good pay to make service attractive and feasible.
    • Stratified sampling or quotas to ensure demographic balance.
  • These proposals draw criticism: eligibility tests risk recreating Jim‑Crow‑style exclusion or being captured by existing elites.

Objections and perceived failure modes

  • Fear of “randos” writing law; lawmaking is seen as more complex and gameable than jury decisions.
  • Concern that power would simply shift to unelected staff, experts, and lobbyists, as with term limits.
  • Juries themselves are criticized as biased and manipulable; some prefer professional judges or mixed panels.
  • Sortition‑based bodies can be steered by facilitators/secretariats, as alleged in Irish and French examples.

Meritocracy, metrics, and alternatives

  • Thread debates whether meritocracy is achievable or just money/elite reproduction in disguise; Campbell/Goodhart’s laws are invoked (metrics get gamed).
  • Some see “meritocracy” mainly as a way to stop elites kicking away ladders; others say the word now masks entrenched privilege.
  • Direct or “liquid” electronic democracy is floated but criticized for rational ignorance, agenda control, and Californian‑style proposition failures.
  • Many conclude some mix of qualification, randomness, and structural reforms (campaign finance, voting systems, institutional design) is needed; no consensus on how far to push sortition.