Intel's retreat is unlike anything it's done before in Oregon
Employment practices, layoffs, and “corporate commitment”
- Commenters debate whether hiring should be a long‑term commitment vs. a purely transactional exchange.
- Some argue frequent over‑hiring and mass layoffs are irresponsible and socially damaging; others say labor mobility and “creative destruction” are necessary if paired with a strong safety net.
- There’s disagreement over how traumatic firing is compared to divorce, but broad consensus that US job loss is overly destabilizing because benefits (healthcare, retirement, PTO) are tied to employers.
- Several people advocate generous severance and transparent course‑corrections over keeping people in meaningless roles.
Intel culture, hiring, and bloat
- Multiple anecdotes describe Intel as overstaffed, process‑heavy, and insular, with low ownership and weak alignment between skills and roles (e.g., PhDs from unrelated fields, “futurists,” anthropologists).
- A recurring theme is that Intel’s internal culture didn’t reward urgency or innovation; people describe “fat” years of easy work, weak performance pressure, and misaligned R&D.
- Some see the layoffs as an overdue correction to years of bloat; others say the real problem is mismanagement and the board, not rank‑and‑file engineers.
Capital allocation: buybacks vs. investment
- A large subthread argues over stock buybacks vs. dividends vs. reinvestment.
- One side: excess cash should go back to shareholders (especially via tax‑efficient buybacks) unless there are clearly high‑ROI projects; otherwise executives burn money on vanity projects.
- The other side: buybacks create perverse incentives, enable financial engineering, and in Intel’s case likely worsened its competitive decline versus TSMC/AMD by starving fabs and R&D.
- Some frame buybacks as borderline fraud; others counter they’re transparent, voluntary transactions and the real issue is bonus design, not buybacks per se.
Oregon vs Bay Area, and local economic impact
- Intel’s Oregon footprint is portrayed as unusually large and now sharply downsized: reported Oregon cuts far exceeded prior local estimates and were a multiple of Arizona’s.
- Hillsboro/Washington County are described as heavily Intel‑dependent; people worry about housing overbuild, falling prices, and a “company town”–style de‑industrialization.
- Portland’s broader struggles (downtown hollowing out post‑COVID, riots, homelessness, weak startup scene) amplify fears that displaced workers won’t find comparable local jobs.
Startups, fabs, and where talent goes
- Some hope a concentration of laid‑off semiconductor talent could spark startups, but many caution that fabs are too capital‑intensive; most realistic spinoffs will be fabless or entirely non‑tech (breweries, machine shops).
- Portland is depicted as lifestyle‑oriented with relatively weak founder and VC ecosystems, so ambitious people often leave for the Bay Area or elsewhere.
- Non‑competes and H1B status are briefly discussed; California’s legal environment is seen as friendlier for mobility.
Strategy, policy, and Intel’s trajectory
- Commenters cite long‑running process missteps, botched product strategy (Itanium, mobile, AI, GPUs), and leadership failures since Andy Grove as root causes.
- There’s debate over how much US policy (CHIPS Act design, export controls on China, geopolitical bets on TSMC Arizona) constrained Intel vs. simply exposing its weaknesses.
- Some see current “shrink to survive” moves as necessary spring cleaning; others fear it’s the prelude to selling off or spinning out the foundry and ending Intel as a fully integrated giant.