Intel's retreat is unlike anything it's done before in Oregon

Employment practices, layoffs, and “corporate commitment”

  • Commenters debate whether hiring should be a long‑term commitment vs. a purely transactional exchange.
  • Some argue frequent over‑hiring and mass layoffs are irresponsible and socially damaging; others say labor mobility and “creative destruction” are necessary if paired with a strong safety net.
  • There’s disagreement over how traumatic firing is compared to divorce, but broad consensus that US job loss is overly destabilizing because benefits (healthcare, retirement, PTO) are tied to employers.
  • Several people advocate generous severance and transparent course‑corrections over keeping people in meaningless roles.

Intel culture, hiring, and bloat

  • Multiple anecdotes describe Intel as overstaffed, process‑heavy, and insular, with low ownership and weak alignment between skills and roles (e.g., PhDs from unrelated fields, “futurists,” anthropologists).
  • A recurring theme is that Intel’s internal culture didn’t reward urgency or innovation; people describe “fat” years of easy work, weak performance pressure, and misaligned R&D.
  • Some see the layoffs as an overdue correction to years of bloat; others say the real problem is mismanagement and the board, not rank‑and‑file engineers.

Capital allocation: buybacks vs. investment

  • A large subthread argues over stock buybacks vs. dividends vs. reinvestment.
  • One side: excess cash should go back to shareholders (especially via tax‑efficient buybacks) unless there are clearly high‑ROI projects; otherwise executives burn money on vanity projects.
  • The other side: buybacks create perverse incentives, enable financial engineering, and in Intel’s case likely worsened its competitive decline versus TSMC/AMD by starving fabs and R&D.
  • Some frame buybacks as borderline fraud; others counter they’re transparent, voluntary transactions and the real issue is bonus design, not buybacks per se.

Oregon vs Bay Area, and local economic impact

  • Intel’s Oregon footprint is portrayed as unusually large and now sharply downsized: reported Oregon cuts far exceeded prior local estimates and were a multiple of Arizona’s.
  • Hillsboro/Washington County are described as heavily Intel‑dependent; people worry about housing overbuild, falling prices, and a “company town”–style de‑industrialization.
  • Portland’s broader struggles (downtown hollowing out post‑COVID, riots, homelessness, weak startup scene) amplify fears that displaced workers won’t find comparable local jobs.

Startups, fabs, and where talent goes

  • Some hope a concentration of laid‑off semiconductor talent could spark startups, but many caution that fabs are too capital‑intensive; most realistic spinoffs will be fabless or entirely non‑tech (breweries, machine shops).
  • Portland is depicted as lifestyle‑oriented with relatively weak founder and VC ecosystems, so ambitious people often leave for the Bay Area or elsewhere.
  • Non‑competes and H1B status are briefly discussed; California’s legal environment is seen as friendlier for mobility.

Strategy, policy, and Intel’s trajectory

  • Commenters cite long‑running process missteps, botched product strategy (Itanium, mobile, AI, GPUs), and leadership failures since Andy Grove as root causes.
  • There’s debate over how much US policy (CHIPS Act design, export controls on China, geopolitical bets on TSMC Arizona) constrained Intel vs. simply exposing its weaknesses.
  • Some see current “shrink to survive” moves as necessary spring cleaning; others fear it’s the prelude to selling off or spinning out the foundry and ending Intel as a fully integrated giant.