Gold hits all time high

Nominal vs real highs & volatility

  • Several comments distinguish between nominal ATH in USD and inflation-adjusted highs.
  • Shared charts show that, in real terms, gold only recently surpassed its 1980 peak and took ~26 years to regain that level.
  • Gold is described as volatile and risky: e.g., 2011 peak took ~8 years to recover; long flat or down periods contradict the idea that it “always appreciates.”
  • Headlines focus on “ATH!” spikes, obscuring long stretches of underperformance or trading ranges.

Dollar debasement and asset inflation

  • Many see gold’s rise as part of broad asset inflation: equities, commodities, crypto, real estate, etc. all up implies “currency is down.”
  • Others highlight a divergence between CPI (consumer prices) and much faster asset-price inflation, feeding inequality.
  • Debate over money printing and QE: some blame central bank balance-sheet expansion; others stress money velocity and note past periods of rising money supply with low inflation (e.g., Japan).
  • Discussion on whether inflation should be measured against consumer baskets (CPI) or hard assets like gold.

Why gold? Intrinsic vs perceived value

  • Explanations: limited supply, non-corrosive, easy to work with since prehistory, enduring role in jewelry/status and religion.
  • Historically better than livestock/barter (portable, divisible, doesn’t “die”).
  • Counterpoint: in a true collapse, gold’s “intrinsic value” is low (can’t eat or shelter you); its value is ultimately collective belief.
  • Comparison to Bitcoin: both chosen by social consensus; gold has millennia of path dependence, Bitcoin has mythos (mysterious founder, crisis-era launch).

Safe haven, politics, and system risk

  • Gold framed as a standard “flight to quality” asset in times of upheaval: wars, debt worries, fear about deficits and central bank independence.
  • Some distrust USD and US institutions, linking concerns to political figures, potential authoritarian drift, and inability of the democratic/oligarchic system to fix fiscal issues.
  • Skeptics argue gold can’t protect you from authoritarianism or war, only from monetary inflation.

Paper gold, central banks, and the Fed’s $42 price

  • Concern that much “gold exposure” is unbacked paper claims; central banks buying physical bullion is seen as more meaningful.
  • Worries about a “house of cards” if paper claims fail; speculative references to historical gold confiscation and capital controls.
  • Side debate over the Fed’s statutory $42.22 gold price: one side sees it as symbolic/legal relic; the other treats it as evidence they can arbitrarily reset prices, prompting accusations of conspiratorial thinking.

Broader market context & individual choices

  • Some emphasize that many assets (stocks, real estate, Bitcoin, collectibles) are at or near highs, so gold’s move isn’t unique.
  • Others note exceptions (art, certain collectibles, Rolexes off peak).
  • One commenter lists drivers: flight from USD assets, central bank buying, Chinese investor demand, debt/deficit fears, and worries over fiscal dominance.
  • A user asks about buying and holding silver; no clear consensus answer is provided.
  • Recommended resources include Ray Dalio’s “Big Debt Crises” and work on fiscal dominance to interpret the current cycle.