72% of the dollar's purchasing power was destroyed in just four episodes
How to Interpret the Chart and Inflation Episodes
- Several commenters say the main takeaway is that steady, compounding inflation slowly erodes purchasing power; recent decades show lower volatility than early 20th century.
- Some argue the “four episodes” (WWI, WWII, 1970s, COVID) are cherry‑picked and the framing oversells drama; other spikes and dips (e.g., 1930s, 1950s) are comparable.
- Multiple people say the chart should be on a log scale and/or use more consistent baselines; comparing everything to 1914 exaggerates early moves and minimizes recent ones.
Purchasing Power, Wages, and Living Standards
- Several note you must consider median income and wage growth: lower dollar value doesn’t automatically mean people are worse off.
- Others stress that quality and variety of modern goods make simple CPI‑based comparisons across a century conceptually shaky.
- 2% target inflation is seen as a design choice to discourage hoarding cash and encourage investment, but some criticize that this systematically punishes savers.
Inflation, War, and Fiscal Policy
- Broad agreement that large wars and supply shocks (WWI, WWII, oil crisis, COVID) coincide with rapid inflation via:
- Huge deficit spending and money creation.
- Destruction or diversion of productive capacity and trade.
- Some push back on the common idea that “war is good for the economy,” arguing it destroys capital and only helps specific sectors.
Petrodollar, Reserve Currencies, and Geopolitics
- Long subthread debates whether the petrodollar is:
- A major advantage that lets the US “export inflation” and fund an empire, or
- A “resource curse” that overvalues the dollar and hollows out manufacturing.
- Discussion of Iran, China, and the possibility of oil trade in yuan:
- Some think petro‑yuan would hurt China by forcing liberalization and breaking its currency controls.
- Others argue China can run closed‑loop trade in yuan with partners because it is the main goods supplier.
Weak vs Strong Dollar and Manufacturing
- Some claim a weaker dollar could restore US manufacturing competitiveness; skeptics say only much cheaper labor and deregulation would move low‑end manufacturing back.
- Several point out that manufacturing output in the US is still large; the real issue is fewer well‑paid low‑skill jobs, not “no manufacturing.”
Inflation as Tax and Distributional Effects
- Multiple commenters reiterate the view that money‑supply‑driven inflation acts like a tax/wealth transfer from holders of cash and fixed claims to borrowers and the issuer.
- Others note that nominal capital gains taxation on inflationary “gains” and bracket creep for wages make policy design around inflation nontrivial.