Joby kicks off NYC electric air taxi demos with historic JFK flight
Electric air taxis from Joby Aviation are beginning test flights between JFK Airport and Manhattan, prompting debate over whether battery‑powered eVTOLs are ready for practical use. Commenters weigh limited range, safety, noise, and air-traffic constraints against potential benefits like lower operating costs, quieter urban operations, and faster point‑to‑point travel for high-paying passengers. Many contrast the concept with improving rail and other mass transit, questioning whether air taxis can ever scale beyond a niche service for wealthier travelers.
Battery, Range, and Powertrain Tradeoffs
- Many note current batteries (~255 Wh/kg) give poor range vs Jet-A, especially since aircraft must carry full battery weight for the whole flight.
- Some argue Joby and peers are implicitly betting on higher-density batteries (375–500 Wh/kg solid-state, etc.), though others say companies claim viability at today’s densities.
- Counterpoint: electric drivetrains are more efficient and lighter (no fuel plumbing, turbines, bleed air), with new airframe layouts (distributed propulsion, eVTOL) enabling niches despite lower specific energy.
- Skeptics emphasize fuel still provides ~order‑of‑magnitude more usable work per kg and that physics, not just airframe optimization, is the limiting factor.
Use Cases, Business Model, and Equity
- Primary near-term use case discussed is high-end airport shuttles (e.g., JFK–Manhattan), likened to early EVs: start with wealthy users, then (maybe) scale.
- Debate over how broad the market is: some note current helicopter services already attract middle- to upper-middle incomes occasionally; others see this as a 0.1% toy.
- Some would prefer tech be proven first on cargo, but others argue building a separate cargo business is a distraction.
Comparison to Trains and Ground Transit
- Large subthread argues a fast airport rail link would move far more people, cheaper and with less noise; London and Stockholm are cited as examples.
- Others respond that NYC rail construction is astronomically expensive and disruptive; extending high-speed rail to JFK could cost tens of billions.
- Existing options (subway + AirTrain, LIRR + AirTrain) are seen as slow but workable; eVTOLs win on time for a small segment, not on mass throughput.
Noise and Urban Acceptability
- Claims: significantly quieter than helicopters (e.g., ~45 dB at 500 m vs ~100 dB for helis), with higher‑frequency, less‑carrying sound from smaller, faster props.
- Firsthand media impressions say takeoff/landing are still “wince”-inducing, if much better than helicopters.
- Concern that scaling up to many flights could still be perceived as noise pollution.
Safety, Reliability, and Airspace
- Joby design reportedly tolerates up to two motor failures and can either land vertically or glide on its wing; whole-aircraft parachutes are rejected by some eVTOL developers.
- Several commenters trust helicopters more due to autorotation; uncertainty remains about eVTOL behavior in total power loss or water landings.
- Questions raised about already overworked air-traffic control handling “hundreds of tiny helicopters”; some imply eventual autonomy and automated deconfliction are needed.
Capacity, Infrastructure, and Scaling Limits
- Helipad throughput is a clear bottleneck; back-of-envelope calculations suggest serving even 10% of JFK’s hourly passenger volume would require many pads and tight scheduling.
- Pilot availability is another constraint; scaling likely pushes toward autonomous or pilotless operations.
Military and Other Applications
- Some venture optimism is attributed to potential military eVTOL/hybrid VTOL roles (logistics, range, reduced signature), beyond civilian air taxis.
- Questions raised about whether larger VTOL drones can outperform traditional helicopters for troop/cargo lift.
Technology Outlook (Hydrogen and Beyond)
- A hydrogen fuel-cell variant reportedly demonstrated >500-mile range, vs ~150 miles on batteries, but commenters highlight hydrogen’s volume and tank-weight penalties.
- Others suggest synthetic liquid jet fuel from renewables may be a more practical path to low‑carbon aviation than hydrogen or batteries for long-range.