Uber wants to turn its drivers into a sensor grid for self-driving companies
Acronym and framing confusion
- Many readers misread “AV” (autonomous vehicles) as audio‑visual, antivirus, adult video, etc., underscoring how important explicit “self‑driving” wording is.
- The submitter notes “self-driving” didn’t fit the HN title limit, hence the abbreviation.
Timing and feasibility of Uber’s sensor‑grid idea
- Multiple commenters say Uber is ~6–10 years late; major AV firms already have large proprietary datasets and mature programs.
- Practical questions raised: who pays for and installs expensive sensors (e.g., lidar) on mostly privately owned or rental vehicles?
Is data really the bottleneck? Real vs synthetic
- Uber’s “data is the bottleneck” claim is heavily disputed.
- Some argue leaders like Waymo rely heavily on simulation and “world models,” using targeted real‑world data plus massive synthetic mileage, not brute‑force data collection.
- Tesla is cited as evidence that “billions of miles” alone don’t yield full autonomy.
- Others counter that you still need “boots on the ground” to detect environmental changes (new signs, lane paint), edge cases, and to validate simulations; mapping data from governments may be incomplete or stale.
Labor, unions, and automation
- One thread explores drivers unknowingly training their replacements and lacking awareness of unions or collective bargaining.
- Views diverge:
- Some see AVs as overhyped and far from deployment, akin to flying cars.
- Others who’ve used Waymo claim AV tech is “basically here” and likely to scale over the next 10–20 years.
- Broader concerns emerge about automation reducing labor demand, depressing birth rates, and contributing to a long‑run population and social crisis; others argue population decline or steady state could be workable.
Business model, incentives, and driver compensation
- Several note that a highly successful single AV platform is an existential threat to Uber’s current model.
- One analysis suggests the real near‑term product is “shadow mode”: running AV models against recorded Uber trips, not turning cars into full sensor platforms.
- Commenters question whether drivers will be informed or compensated for data collection, given Uber’s history of extracting value from its network.
Cost, economics, and alternatives
- Debate on whether AV fleets are truly cheaper than human drivers once R&D, remote ops, maintenance depots, and social costs (displaced labor, potential UBI) are included.
- Suggestions that rideshare/taxi work functions as a de facto jobs program; others argue public transit infrastructure would be a better employment target.
Privacy, mapping, and prior attempts
- Tesla is cited as already doing extensive vehicle‑based data collection, raising privacy and ownership concerns.
- A prior startup (Nexar) trying similar dashcam‑based mapping is mentioned as not clearly successful.
- Comparisons drawn to other “unpaid sensor grids” like location‑based games used for mapping and robotics.
Societal and urban impacts
- Some see ubiquitous AVs and automation as part of a broader “dark” societal trajectory.
- A closing comment notes Uber’s negative impact on NYC’s character and pricing, with traditional car services still cheaper in some cases.