“Meta spent almost as much as the Manhattan Project on GPUs in today's dollars”
Scale and Cost Comparisons
- Meta’s ~$30B GPU spend is compared to Manhattan Project and Apollo, but several note:
- US GDP is ~9× higher than in 1945, so similar nominal amounts are relatively “smaller”.
- Manhattan and Apollo each peaked around 0.4% of GDP; Meta’s outlay is ~0.1% of current US GDP and spread over years.
- Others compare against:
- Apple’s $110B stock buyback, making Meta’s spend less shocking.
- IBM System/360 development (said to exceed Manhattan in 1960s dollars).
- Some argue such historical cost comparisons are misleading without context on what money, wages, and tech could buy at the time.
Technological Complexity: GPUs vs Nuclear & Space
- Several argue modern GPUs, EUV lithography, and fabs (TSMC, ASML) are as impressive or more complex than Manhattan-era nuclear work.
- Counterpoint: Manhattan’s real scale was in industrialization (Hanford, Oak Ridge) and novel uranium/plutonium production, plus long‑term cleanup costs.
Economic & Inflation Debates
- Big subthread on whether official inflation understates past price growth:
- One camp uses median family income, gold, housing, education, healthcare to claim heavy undercounting.
- Another defends CPI and modern economic methods; stresses productivity gains, better goods, and rising living standards.
- Disagreement on whether today’s higher project prices reflect true inflation vs higher real wages, safety, regulation, and richer societies.
Government vs Corporate Mega‑Projects
- Wartime projects seen as uniquely focused, with little tolerance for waste or delay; today’s peacetime bureaucracy, lobbying, and regulation are blamed for higher costs and slower progress.
- Others note Manhattan and Apollo were also wasteful and pushed many costs (e.g., environmental cleanup) into the future.
- Some worry that large corporations now rival or exceed states in economic power and can pursue “moonshots” driven by ad revenue rather than public goals.
Meta’s AI Strategy and Impact
- GPUs fund recommendation systems (Feed, Reels), not just chatbots; some frame this as “weapon‑grade” optimization of user addiction, especially for kids.
- Mixed views on Meta open‑sourcing LLaMA:
- Praise: massive private spend yielding public AI models; more efficient than closed efforts.
- Concern: easier mass sockpuppeting, manipulation, and uncertain societal value.
- Debate over whether Meta is “behind” OpenAI or simply optimizing for different products and revenue streams.
Social, Ethical, and Environmental Concerns
- Skeptics see billions in compute and energy spent on “shitty chatbots” and attention‑hacking rather than housing, health, or climate.
- Others argue risky private bets are exactly how technological progress happens, even if many feel current priorities squander human potential.