America’s Transit Exceptionalism

Interpretation of the transit graphs

  • Several note the chart is per‑capita, so China and South Korea look especially steep, but even India’s “small” bump represents massive absolute growth.
  • There’s disagreement on whether population adjustment “skews” the picture; some argue it understates India, others say it doesn’t handle population growth well.
  • Many highlight that almost every country’s curve rises except the US and UK.

China, India, and “overbuilding”

  • One side claims China is overbuilding housing and rail, creating ghost cities and mismatched demand.
  • Others counter that excess capacity is intentional: supporting ongoing urbanization, future quality upgrades, and building while labor is cheap; they argue structures are generally durable for 50–70+ years.
  • India is cited as rapidly expanding metros (hundreds of km in ~20 years), with more under construction, and poised to surpass US metro mileage.

US institutions, cost, and project choices

  • Some blame US bureaucracy and environmental reviews; others note highly regulated regions (EU, East Asia) still build aggressively, so the issue is US-specific execution and politics.
  • High costs and mis‑prioritized megaprojects (e.g., East Side Access) are contrasted with cheaper, higher‑impact builds abroad (e.g., Paris extensions, Crossrail).
  • Loss of in‑house expertise after long construction pauses is seen as a cost driver.

Boring Company / Hyperloop as distraction

  • Many see Boring Company and Hyperloop as intentional or de facto stalling tactics against conventional rail, especially California HSR and Las Vegas transit.
  • Others argue the evidence of deliberate sabotage is weak or speculative; they view these as overhyped tech experiments, not serious transit.

Modes: trams, buses, metros, cars

  • Some favor trams for comfort, legibility, and city visibility; others see them as inflexible, slower, and often redundant with buses.
  • Strong support appears for layered networks: metro for fast trunk lines, trams or buses for local, and regional rail on top.
  • A recurring point: cars remain space‑inefficient in dense cores even if automated; they may help with last‑mile but not mainline capacity.

Culture, density, and inequality

  • One camp argues most Americans genuinely prefer low‑density, car‑oriented living and that public transit is for those who can’t afford cars.
  • Opponents reply that high urban housing costs signal unmet demand for dense, transit‑rich living; people “choose” sprawl partly because cities are unaffordable or have poor schools.
  • Several link weak US transit to racism/classism: transit is coded as for “poor and minorities,” so higher‑income voters resist funding or riding it.

Safety, crime, and perceived quality

  • Multiple comments claim fear of crime, disorder, and mentally ill or drug‑using riders is a major reason middle‑ and upper‑income Americans avoid transit, especially in some US cities.
  • Others counter that crime rates per rider are still low and that perceptions are amplified, but acknowledge quality and safety problems on systems like BART or some NYC lines.