Nowhere is safe
Drones, Production, and Targeting Industry
- Debate over whether drones are fundamentally constrained by industrial bottlenecks:
- One side: mass use of cheap drones depends on concentrated, sophisticated manufacturing (especially chips, motors, batteries). In a total war, adversaries would target factories, power plants, and industrial districts.
- Other side: many effective drones can be built from commodity electronics (e.g., phone-grade sensors, consumer parts) and assembled in distributed workshops and homes. Bombing a few “drone factories” would not stop production.
- Some see drones and cheap precision weapons as a new “strategic parity” tool enabling weaker actors (Ukraine, Iran, cartels) to hurt stronger ones at low cost.
Defenses: Tunnels, Bunkers, and Counter-Drone Systems
- The article’s call for large-scale tunneling and undergrounding of infrastructure is widely questioned:
- Cut-and-cover and deep tunnels are seen as massively expensive, slow, conspicuous, and vulnerable along their length.
- Earth cover greatly improves protection, but repairing long underground logistics routes under fire is harder than fixing surface roads.
- Alternatives discussed:
- Point-defense guns and radar-assisted turrets, interceptor drones, and possibly lasers as more scalable counters to cheap, low, slow drones.
- Simple concealment (covers, vegetation) vs heavy earthworks.
- Some suggest mobility (assets on underground rails with many exits) but note astronomical costs.
War, Diplomacy, and U.S. Power
- Strong current against “digging in” as primary strategy; many argue the first line of defense against state-scale drone campaigns should be diplomacy and restraint, not hardening everything.
- Long argument over whether U.S. bombing, sanctions, and regime change efforts are primary drivers of blowback (e.g., 9/11, Middle East conflicts), versus attacks being rooted in ideology or local power ambitions.
- Dispute over “petrodollar” and whether U.S. financial hegemony rests mainly on oil pricing vs broader capital-market attractiveness.
Global Order, Law, and Deterrence
- Multiple commenters see international law and institutions as largely powerless: great powers invade, bomb, or close straits with minimal consequences.
- View that the U.S. itself is undermining an order that historically benefited it.
- Nuclear MAD is cited as the main reason great-power war has been avoided; some argue cheap drones are a new equalizer, others see them as still far from existential without escalation to nukes.