Apple to increase spend with Broadcom to produce billions more U.S. chips
Tariffs, Trade Deficit, and Industrial Policy
- Several commenters argue tariffs create uncertainty, deter long‑term investment, and are applied in a chaotic, personalized way via executive power rather than stable law.
- Others note an underlying, long‑running US political pushback against imports, saying firms should have anticipated some shift.
- Multiple posts cite data (trade balance, deficits, inflation) claiming tariffs have not reduced the trade deficit and have raised prices.
- Historical studies are referenced where tariffs cost ~$800–900k per job and mainly boosted corporate profits.
- A minority view says import restrictions can support national industrial capacity and are part of broader “protectionist” traditions.
Macroeconomics and the Dollar System
- One thread stresses that persistent US trade deficits are structurally tied to the USD’s reserve role (Triffin dilemma); sharply shrinking the deficit could destabilize global finance and erode US “exorbitant privilege.”
- Others counter that trade and capital flows benefit asset owners disproportionately and hollow out tradable-goods jobs, framing trade conflicts as class conflicts.
CHIPS Act, Semiconductors, and China Dependence
- Many emphasize this Apple–Broadcom move fits CHIPS‑style subsidies more than tariff policy.
- Commenters stress the difficulty of recreating the dense Asian semiconductor ecosystems; US fabs and subsidies help but cannot quickly replicate Taiwan/China supplier networks.
- Demographic decline and political risk in China are cited as reasons companies are gradually diversifying production (India, Vietnam, etc.), but most agree China will remain a major player, especially in mature nodes and power electronics.
- Data points highlight that China, Taiwan, and Korea dominate different chip segments (power, memory, advanced logic), with China heavily investing in its own equipment.
Apple–Broadcom Deal Specifics
- The chips involved are RF components (e.g., FBAR filters), not Apple Silicon or modems.
- This is seen as incremental capacity expansion of US‑made analog/RF parts, not a wholesale relocation of Apple’s core silicon.
- Some view it as largely political/PR: signaling US investment, appeasing the administration, and possibly offsetting scrutiny over other supply‑chain choices.
Jobs, Capital Intensity, and Distributional Effects
- The “$30B for hundreds of jobs” ratio draws criticism from those expecting broad employment gains.
- Others argue this is precisely what advanced tech does: huge output and profit from very few workers; data centers are cited as a parallel.
- There is concern that wins for Broadcom imply losses for rival US RF firms (Qorvo, Skyworks).
Immigration, Talent, and Education
- Multiple comments tie semiconductor reshoring to talent pipelines.
- Some argue restricting international students and post‑study visas undermines US capacity; others worry about displacement of domestic graduates and IP/security risks.
- One view emphasizes agglomeration: concentrating global top talent in the US benefits domestic workers too; another highlights abuse of visas to suppress wages.
Language and Jargon (“increase spend”)
- Several posts critique the phrase “increase spend” as corporate jargon; others note “spend” is a standard finance‑world noun, analogous to “ad spend.”
- This sparks broader complaints about business English (“ask,” “solve”) and its perceived degradation of language.
Technical Side Discussion: RF Components and RF “Black Magic”
- Brief technical explanations clarify FBAR and SAW filters as mechanical resonators used in GHz‑range RF filtering, central to modern phones.
- Side debate touches on oscillator types (crystal, TCXO, OCXO) and the complexity of high‑frequency electronics, with some humor about confusing RF band naming.