Nearly all of California's reservoir's are above their historical averages
California’s surface reservoirs are currently above historical averages after several wet winters, but commenters argue this masks deeper vulnerabilities in the state’s water system. They highlight overdrawn and compacting groundwater aquifers, limits and environmental costs of building new reservoirs, and heavy agricultural demand—especially from water‑intensive crops like almonds and alfalfa—as central pressures on supply. The exchange also touches on climate-driven extremes, regulatory and infrastructure constraints, and whether pricing and conservation policies are being designed and applied fairly.
Reservoir Conditions & Management
- After several wet winters, most California surface reservoirs are above historical averages, though collectively not 100% full.
- Managers have been releasing water to preserve flood space for snowmelt and to control salinity in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta and protect ecosystems and water exports.
- Interactive dashboards (for reservoirs, snowpack, and precipitation) highlight high interannual variability and frequent multi‑year runs of below‑median rainfall.
Debate Over New Reservoirs
- Some argue California “should have built more reservoirs” to handle 4–6+ year droughts and growing population.
- Others respond that most good dam sites are already used, new surface storage has diminishing returns, and reservoirs only store water they receive; they can’t solve long‑term supply deficits.
- The Sites Reservoir project is cited as a rare new large facility, enabled by streamlined environmental review; there is concern that reliance on discretionary exemptions is both necessary in crisis and potentially corrupting.
- Skeptics note that even now, many reservoirs are not full, and extra capacity could simply increase evaporation if inflows don’t rise.
Groundwater, Aquifers, and Subsidence
- Multiple comments stress that the largest “reservoir” is groundwater, which is in poor shape.
- Over‑pumping in regions like the San Joaquin Valley has caused significant land subsidence and loss of aquifer storage that is effectively irreversible on human timescales.
- Some push back that compaction depends on geology and timescales, so effects are nuanced, but others provide measurements showing meters of long‑term subsidence.
- Permeable surfaces and recharge efforts help, but aquifer behavior varies; some systems readily refill, others do not.
Agriculture, Crops, and Water Use
- Roughly 80% of human water use in California is attributed to agriculture; residential use is flat or declining despite population growth.
- There is disagreement over which crops are the real problem: some blame almonds, others say alfalfa (especially for export) is far worse in water intensity and value.
- Critics argue that policies effectively subsidize water‑intensive export agriculture and large agribusiness, while residential users face rationing and higher bills.
Climate Variability and Infrastructure
- Several comments note that California has always had large swings between wet and dry, including historic mega‑droughts and major floods; the 20th century may have been unusually wet.
- Climate change is framed as amplifying volatility and making past design assumptions obsolete; infrastructure everywhere (not just dams) needs expensive, uncertain upgrades.
- Others emphasize that “new normal” claims are recent, even though scientists had warned for decades about longer, harsher droughts.
Policy, Pricing, and Regulation
- Opinions diverge on whether the core problem is lack of storage, overallocated rights, or mismanaged demand (especially agriculture).
- CEQA and similar laws are blamed by some for blocking infrastructure; others highlight deeper issues like water compacts, “use‑it‑or‑lose‑it” rules, and political power of farm interests.
- On pricing, some support permanently higher rates to encourage conservation; others call for tiered pricing that penalizes heavy users (especially large farms) rather than all households.
- There is tension between seeing more dams as necessary adaptation vs. an expensive, environmentally damaging band‑aid that doesn’t fix structural overuse.
Other Ideas and Side Notes
- Suggestions include expanding groundwater recharge (e.g., flooding fields), soil water‑harvesting in mountains, and even experimental “ice stupas,” though feasibility in California is questioned (temperature, scale).
- Thread also contains side debates over units (acre‑feet vs. metric), grammar in the title, and the broader social/political response to droughts and floods.