No leap second will be introduced at the end of December 2026

International timekeepers have confirmed that no leap second will be added at the end of December 2026, highlighting how Earth’s irregular rotation and complex geophysics make such adjustments unpredictable. Commenters examine how leap seconds work, their relationship to atomic time (TAI) and systems like GPS, and why they create headaches for software, distributed systems, and time synchronization. Many note that the global community plans to phase out leap seconds by 2035—possibly replacing them with very rare “leap hours”—effectively prioritizing simpler, continuous atomic time over strict alignment with the Sun.

Status of leap seconds and negative leap seconds

  • Announcement: no leap second will be added at end of 2026; decision windows occur twice a year with ~6‑month notice.
  • Earth’s rotation has been slightly fast recently, so accumulated offset doesn’t justify a leap second.
  • A negative leap second has not yet occurred; some commenters push back on claims it was “skipped out of cowardice.”
  • There is broad expectation that leap seconds will be phased out around 2035, with a pause of ~100 years and potential replacement by a “leap hour” much later.

Earth rotation and unpredictability

  • Rotation rate is affected by many factors: geology, core flows, atmosphere, ocean currents, melting ice, reservoirs, earthquakes, and human water redistribution.
  • These variations are irregular and only predictable to limited horizons, hence leap seconds can’t be scheduled far in advance.
  • Plots from IERS and Wikipedia are referenced to illustrate recent trends and the lack of need for a negative leap second so far.

Technical and systems impact

  • Leap seconds are called a “huge problem” for distributed and high‑reliability systems.
  • Common workaround: “leap smearing,” stretching or compressing seconds over ~24 hours so clocks remain monotonic but seconds aren’t uniform.
  • This complicates semantics of clocks like CLOCK_MONOTONIC and CLOCK_TAI, especially when smearing is undocumented.
  • Many systems (Unix timestamps, most datetime APIs, Temporal) effectively ignore leap seconds and treat all days as 86,400 seconds.
  • NTP, GPS, and PTP distribute leap information differently; support for true TAI time is patchy.

Time standards: UTC, TAI, GPS

  • UTC is tied to atomic seconds but adjusted with leap seconds to keep mean solar noon within ~1 s of 12:00 at the prime meridian.
  • TAI is a continuous atomic timescale; UTC‑TAI = −37 s since 2017‑01‑01.
  • GPS time differs from both UTC and TAI but maintains fixed offsets; current UTC‑GPS offset remains −18 s.
  • Some argue the need for “solar alignment” is weak given large existing offsets from time zones and the equation of time.

Design and abstraction debates

  • Several argue leap seconds belong at a higher abstraction layer (like time zones/DST), not in the global timescale.
  • Counter‑arguments: rotation irregularities are global, so the global standard should record them; pushing them into time zones would create even more chaos and inconsistency.
  • Leap days vs leap seconds:
    • Leap days are predictable and encode orbital mechanics.
    • Leap seconds handle rotational irregularities and are irregular, making implementation error‑prone.

Calendar and time reform ideas

  • Proposals include:
    • 12×30‑day months plus a timeless festival period.
    • 12 months of 5×6‑day weeks, with solstice intercalary days.
    • 13×28‑day months plus 1 “extra” day.
  • Historical and alternative systems (French Republican calendar, Julian period, intercalation concept) are referenced.

Cultural, legal, and political tangents

  • Thread contains extensive humorous riffs: Time Lords, Douglas Adams/Pratchett references, Superman/jets to change Earth’s rotation, XKCD/SMBC links.
  • British legal hacks (e.g., resignation via accepting an “office of profit,” long leases) are compared to the “leap hour” workaround for international time treaties.
  • A long tangent discusses UK by‑elections, joke candidates, and parliamentary rituals as another example of elaborate legal fictions.

Attitudes toward importance and future

  • Some see leap seconds as vital for “accurate” civil time; others say only niche scientific/space applications truly care and can maintain their own timescales.
  • Several argue distributed systems’ fragility around leap seconds is a strong reason to abandon them; others retort robust systems must already handle many forms of time jumps and skew.
  • Consensus in the thread leans toward: leap seconds solved a relatively minor human‑facing problem while creating substantial technical complexity, which motivates their planned phase‑out.