United Airlines tells Boeing to stop building Max 10s and to switch to max 9s
United’s Switch: Motives and Constraints
- United is dropping the 737 MAX 10 from its delivery outlook mainly due to uncertain certification timelines, not an explicit safety judgment.
- It is signaling interest in Airbus A321neo if “economics work,” but commenters note Airbus’ backlog is enormous, making near‑term deliveries unlikely.
- Many see United’s move as a public show of dissatisfaction with Boeing, but also note United is effectively “stuck with its second choice” (MAX 9).
- American Airlines just ordered ~85 MAX 10s and converted 30 MAX 8 orders, suggesting some major carriers still bet on MAX 10 being certified.
MAX 9 vs MAX 10 and Technical Issues
- The recent MAX 9 door‑plug incident is characterized by some as a process/installation or quality‑control failure, not a fundamental aerodynamic or certification issue.
- MAX 10’s certification is reportedly held up by engine anti‑ice system concerns, which affect all MAX variants; already‑certified models operate with mitigations while a fix is developed.
- There is debate over how much blame belongs to software (MCAS), pilot training, documentation choices, and management decisions.
Boeing Management, Culture, and MBAs
- Many argue Boeing’s long‑term decline stems from “MBA/finance‑driven” culture, short‑termism, outsourcing, and degraded engineering authority, often traced (rightly or wrongly) to the McDonnell Douglas merger.
- Others counter that blaming MBAs or a 30‑year‑old merger is oversimplified; recent CEOs have included engineers, and root problems are incentives, culture, and regulatory capture.
- Several note that once a culture is transformed over decades, it is very hard to reverse; some suggest only bankruptcy, nationalization, or a radical breakup could reset it.
Stock Buybacks and Capitalism Debate
- Intense argument over whether Boeing‑style buybacks are normal capital return or “vulture capitalism” that strips long‑term capability.
- One side: buybacks are tax‑efficient, shareholders own the company and may prefer cash; creative destruction is a feature.
- Other side: aggressive buybacks while cutting R&D/QA and taking on debt are value‑destroying and symptomatic of broken governance.
Market Structure, Competition, and Government Role
- Boeing is seen as effectively too strategically important (civil + defense) for the US to let fail outright; Chapter 11 reorganization is considered plausible, Chapter 7 not.
- Airbus’ huge backlog and slow capacity expansion help keep Boeing viable despite reputational damage.
- COMAC is noted as an emerging but currently limited competitor; worsening US‑China relations and performance/economics of the C919 constrain its global threat for now.
- Suggestions for new competitors (Lockheed Martin re‑entry, Y Combinator‑backed startups, Elon Musk) meet skepticism due to regulatory, capital, and ecosystem barriers.
Passenger Behavior and Safety Perceptions
- Some commenters now actively avoid Boeing aircraft when booking, even paying more or changing routes; others prioritize price and schedule and still seek out models like the 787 for comfort.
- Tools like Kayak’s aircraft filters are mentioned, but aircraft swaps and airline constraints limit practical consumer choice.
- There is concern that it may take another major fatal accident to force real accountability.
Other Noted Threads
- Mention of the 787 quality‑issue whistleblower’s reported suicide, with calls for serious investigation.
- Side discussions on privacy‑hostile cookie/consent banners and car telematics, and on US rail vs. aviation as alternative transport policy.