United Airlines tells Boeing to stop building Max 10s and to switch to max 9s

United Airlines is asking Boeing to swap its yet-uncertified 737 MAX 10 orders for the smaller MAX 9, highlighting both regulatory delays and airlines’ limited alternatives amid massive Airbus backlogs. Commenters debate whether this pressure will force Boeing to halt incremental 737 updates and invest in a new aircraft, while also criticizing the company’s culture, financial engineering, and safety record. Many expect Boeing to survive thanks to its strategic importance and lack of U.S. competitors, but note growing passenger wariness and airlines’ tentative interest in Airbus or future rivals.

United’s Switch: Motives and Constraints

  • United is dropping the 737 MAX 10 from its delivery outlook mainly due to uncertain certification timelines, not an explicit safety judgment.
  • It is signaling interest in Airbus A321neo if “economics work,” but commenters note Airbus’ backlog is enormous, making near‑term deliveries unlikely.
  • Many see United’s move as a public show of dissatisfaction with Boeing, but also note United is effectively “stuck with its second choice” (MAX 9).
  • American Airlines just ordered ~85 MAX 10s and converted 30 MAX 8 orders, suggesting some major carriers still bet on MAX 10 being certified.

MAX 9 vs MAX 10 and Technical Issues

  • The recent MAX 9 door‑plug incident is characterized by some as a process/installation or quality‑control failure, not a fundamental aerodynamic or certification issue.
  • MAX 10’s certification is reportedly held up by engine anti‑ice system concerns, which affect all MAX variants; already‑certified models operate with mitigations while a fix is developed.
  • There is debate over how much blame belongs to software (MCAS), pilot training, documentation choices, and management decisions.

Boeing Management, Culture, and MBAs

  • Many argue Boeing’s long‑term decline stems from “MBA/finance‑driven” culture, short‑termism, outsourcing, and degraded engineering authority, often traced (rightly or wrongly) to the McDonnell Douglas merger.
  • Others counter that blaming MBAs or a 30‑year‑old merger is oversimplified; recent CEOs have included engineers, and root problems are incentives, culture, and regulatory capture.
  • Several note that once a culture is transformed over decades, it is very hard to reverse; some suggest only bankruptcy, nationalization, or a radical breakup could reset it.

Stock Buybacks and Capitalism Debate

  • Intense argument over whether Boeing‑style buybacks are normal capital return or “vulture capitalism” that strips long‑term capability.
  • One side: buybacks are tax‑efficient, shareholders own the company and may prefer cash; creative destruction is a feature.
  • Other side: aggressive buybacks while cutting R&D/QA and taking on debt are value‑destroying and symptomatic of broken governance.

Market Structure, Competition, and Government Role

  • Boeing is seen as effectively too strategically important (civil + defense) for the US to let fail outright; Chapter 11 reorganization is considered plausible, Chapter 7 not.
  • Airbus’ huge backlog and slow capacity expansion help keep Boeing viable despite reputational damage.
  • COMAC is noted as an emerging but currently limited competitor; worsening US‑China relations and performance/economics of the C919 constrain its global threat for now.
  • Suggestions for new competitors (Lockheed Martin re‑entry, Y Combinator‑backed startups, Elon Musk) meet skepticism due to regulatory, capital, and ecosystem barriers.

Passenger Behavior and Safety Perceptions

  • Some commenters now actively avoid Boeing aircraft when booking, even paying more or changing routes; others prioritize price and schedule and still seek out models like the 787 for comfort.
  • Tools like Kayak’s aircraft filters are mentioned, but aircraft swaps and airline constraints limit practical consumer choice.
  • There is concern that it may take another major fatal accident to force real accountability.

Other Noted Threads

  • Mention of the 787 quality‑issue whistleblower’s reported suicide, with calls for serious investigation.
  • Side discussions on privacy‑hostile cookie/consent banners and car telematics, and on US rail vs. aviation as alternative transport policy.